Tracking Dangerous Heat in the U.S. (2024)

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By Matthew Bloch,Lazaro Gamio,Zach Levitt,Eleanor Lutz,Bea Malsky and John-Michael Murphy

Dangerous levels of heat are forecast in the South and West on Monday, according to data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

See temperatures on this page as:

Heat index forecast for Monday

Heat index measures how hot it feels outside, accounting for temperature and humidity. Map shows highest level forecast for the day.

Caution Feels like 80°-90°

Extreme caution 90°-103°

Danger 103°-125°

Tracking Dangerous Heat in the U.S. (8)

Source: NOAA Note: Forecast data is as of 8:15 a.m. Eastern on August 12, 2024. Map shows the highest forecast heat index level on Monday.

Jump to:

Your areaMajor citiesThe week ahead

About 57.5 million people — 17 percent of the population of the contiguous United States — live in the areas expected to have dangerous levels of heat.

The heat index is a measure of how hot it really feels outside, taking into account humidity along with temperature. The measurement is used to indicate when the level of heat is dangerous for the human body while in the shade. When out in the sun, a person could perceive that temperature as being higher by up to 15 degrees Fahrenheit (8.3 degrees Celsius).

Risks associated with heat index levels

Caution

Fatigue is possible after long exposure or exercise.

A heat index of 80 to 90 degrees Fahrenheit

Extreme caution

Possible risk of heat stroke, heat cramps or heat exhaustion after long exposure or exercise.

90 to 103 degrees

Danger

Heat cramps or heat exhaustion is likely. After long exposure or exercise, heat stroke is also possible.

103 to 125 degrees

Extreme danger

Heat stroke is highly likely.

125 degrees or higher

Risk level definitions are from NOAA.

Hundreds of people die from extreme heat in the United States every year. On hot days, the National Weather Service recommends that people drink fluids, stay in cooler rooms, keep out of the sun and check up on relatives and neighbors, especially older people and those who live alone.

How hot will it feel in your area?

Look up the coming week’s forecast for places across the country, and see the heat index forecast in or near your city or town.

Heat index forecast for…

Heat forecasts in major cities

During this weeklong period, 58 major cities are forecast, as of Monday, to have dangerous levels of heat on one or more days.

City

Mon.

Tue.

Wed.

Thu.

Fri.

Sat.

Sun.

Corpus Christi, Texas

111

108

108

108

109

111

106

Houston, Texas

110

107

111

110

109

110

111

Oklahoma City, Okla.

109

106

106

101

100

103

101

Laredo, Texas

109

109

108

106

107

107

106

Brownsville, Texas

109

107

109

109

109

110

107

Chandler, Ariz.

108

108

106

107

108

106

105

Gilbert, Ariz.

108

108

106

107

108

106

106

Key West, Fla.

108

109

109

108

108

106

103

Phoenix, Ariz.

107

106

105

106

107

105

104

Jacksonville, Fla.

107

106

109

95

93

96

98

Mesa, Ariz.

107

106

105

105

107

106

104

Baton Rouge, La.

107

110

110

109

109

109

109

Peoria, Ariz.

107

106

104

105

106

105

104

Tempe, Ariz.

107

105

105

105

107

104

104

Gulfport, Miss.

107

109

109

109

109

108

109

Glendale, Ariz.

106

105

105

105

106

103

104

Scottsdale, Ariz.

106

105

105

105

106

103

104

Hialeah, Fla.

106

106

106

106

102

101

101

Tallahassee, Fla.

106

105

104

102

101

101

102

Fort Lauderdale, Fla.

106

103

105

103

102

98

101

Savannah, Ga.

106

105

95

91

90

94

97

Lafayette, La.

106

111

111

106

107

109

109

San Antonio, Texas

105

107

107

104

104

105

104

Austin, Texas

105

110

108

109

108

109

110

Miami, Fla.

105

105

105

105

101

100

100

Tampa, Fla.

105

105

105

103

100

97

98

New Orleans, La.

105

108

109

109

107

107

109

Orlando, Fla.

105

106

106

103

96

97

100

St. Petersburg, Fla.

105

105

106

105

101

97

99

Mobile, Ala.

105

104

109

109

109

106

106

Shreveport, La.

105

111

110

107

107

109

106

Charleston, S.C.

105

102

93

90

89

93

97

Biloxi, Miss.

105

107

109

106

108

106

110

Dallas, Texas

104

106

108

105

107

107

106

Fort Worth, Texas

104

105

108

108

107

107

106

Arlington, Texas

104

104

108

106

107

106

105

Irving, Texas

104

106

108

105

107

106

105

Killeen, Texas

104

103

105

104

104

104

104

Plano, Texas

103

105

108

106

107

106

104

Garland, Texas

103

104

107

106

106

106

105

Frisco, Texas

103

104

108

106

108

105

104

McKinney, Texas

103

105

108

105

106

106

104

Grand Prairie, Texas

103

104

109

108

107

107

104

Jackson, Miss.

101

105

106

107

107

107

103

Hattiesburg, Miss.

101

104

106

106

105

106

105

Tulsa, Okla.

100

107

110

102

102

104

101

Wichita, Kan.

97

100

104

94

95

97

93

Tupelo, Miss.

94

100

98

102

104

101

98

Memphis, Tenn.

91

100

99

103

102

98

96

Little Rock, Ark.

89

109

107

106

104

102

100

Springfield, Mo.

89

90

103

99

94

92

89

Topeka, Kan.

88

78

106

93

90

90

88

Olathe, Kan.

87

76

103

94

90

88

86

Nashville, Tenn.

86

91

92

99

106

102

95

Overland Park, Kan.

86

75

103

95

90

88

86

Kansas City, Kan.

86

76

105

95

90

88

88

Lawrence, Kan.

85

78

105

95

90

87

87

Fayetteville, Ark.

80

99

104

97

97

96

95

Source: NOAA Note: Forecast data is as of 8:15 a.m. Eastern on August 12, 2024. Values shown represent the highest forecast heat index level for each day.

The week ahead across the nation

While next-day forecasts can be quite accurate, forecasts become less reliable the further into the future they predict. Over the next week, dangerous levels of heat are expected in the South, West and Midwest.

Heat index forecast for the next six days

Maps show the highest level forecast each day.

Caution Feels like 80°-90°

Extreme caution 90°-103°

Danger 103°-125°

Tuesday, Aug. 13

Tracking Dangerous Heat in the U.S. (9)

Wednesday, Aug. 14

Tracking Dangerous Heat in the U.S. (10)

Thursday, Aug. 15

Tracking Dangerous Heat in the U.S. (11)

Friday, Aug. 16

Tracking Dangerous Heat in the U.S. (12)

Saturday, Aug. 17

Tracking Dangerous Heat in the U.S. (13)

Sunday, Aug. 18

Tracking Dangerous Heat in the U.S. (14)

Source: NOAA Note: Forecast data is as of 8:15 a.m. Eastern on August 12, 2024.

Summer temperatures have become hotter and more extreme in recent decades, and the health effects of extreme heat can be severe.

Maps on this page are as of 8:13 a.m. on Aug. 12, 2024, using data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. All data shown are forecasts, including maps for the date of publication.

The highest forecast heat index is calculated using all available hourly forecasts for each day published by the NOAA. For some days further in the future, forecasts are published only every three or six hours. This means that the highest forecast heat index numbers are more accurate for the most recent maps.

Population calculations are based on census tract population centers from the U.S. Census Bureau. Tracts are determined to be at risk of dangerous heat if the population center of the tract is forecast to be exposed to a heat index of 103 degrees Fahrenheit or more.

Tracking Dangerous Heat in the U.S. (2024)

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